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Methodology

How we collect data, calculate fair market values, and surface deals. Transparency is core to everything we do.

194,019
eBay sales tracked
19,889
Unique cards
172
Complete sets
20,213
Instruments
1

Our Data Source

We track graded Pokemon card sales on eBay, the world's largest marketplace for graded Pokemon cards. Every verified sold listing is captured and matched to a card in our catalog. eBay provides the deepest liquidity and broadest coverage of any single marketplace, making it the most reliable source for price discovery.

2

Card Catalog

Our catalog contains 19,889 unique cards across 172 complete sets, sourced from the Pokemon TCG API. Each card is tracked as a distinct instrument — defined by the card identity plus its variant (1st Edition, Unlimited, Reverse Holo, etc.). We currently track 20,213 instruments.

The catalog is read-only from the ingestion path. New cards enter only through verified API sources or human-reviewed promotion. This prevents data contamination from mismatched listings.
3

Listing Resolution

When a card sells on eBay, the listing title is parsed and matched to the correct instrument in our catalog. We use a multi-stage resolution pipeline:

Regex extraction: Parse card name, set, number, grade, and variant from the raw title
Dictionary matching: Compare extracted signals against our full catalog of 19,889 card names and 172 set names
Candidate generation: Progressive intersection filters narrow to matching instruments
Tiered decision: Auto-match high-confidence results, flag ambiguous ones for review
Bias toward rejection: Ambiguous matches are flagged for human review rather than guessed. A missed match is better than a wrong match.
4

Fair Market Value

FMV is calculated from verified sold listing data for each card at each grade (PSA 10, PSA 9, CGC 9.5, etc.). We use the median of recent comparable sales to reduce the impact of outliers.

High
10+ sales
Medium
3–9 sales
Low
1–2 sales

Low-confidence FMVs are clearly marked throughout the platform. We never present a low-confidence estimate as authoritative.

5

Deal Scoring

Active eBay listings are compared against our calculated FMV. When a listing is priced below FMV, we calculate the discount percentage and surface it as a deal alert. Deals are sorted by discount depth and filtered by your watchlist preferences. Every deal link goes directly to the eBay listing via an affiliate link (eBay Partner Network).

6

What We Don't Do

  • We don't provide financial or investment advice
  • We don't independently verify grades — we report what grading companies assign
  • We don't guarantee data accuracy — all estimates are based on available data
  • We don't predict future prices — past performance is not indicative of future results

See our full disclaimer for complete details.

7

Data Freshness

Price data is updated daily as new sales are verified and matched. The card catalog is updated when new sets are released by The Pokemon Company. Fair market values recalculate automatically as new sales data enters the system.

Questions?

If you have questions about our methodology, data sources, or how a specific value was calculated, we'd love to hear from you.

Kanto Research·hello@kantoresearch.com